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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the World

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A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives

 

SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024

 

'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting . . . I finished it not only better informed about a captivating branch of mathematics, but with an invigorating sense of greater purchase on the world' OLIVER BURKEMAN

Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.

Author: Chivers Tom
Publisher: WEIDENFELD AND NICOLSON
Pages: 336
ISBN: 9781399604055
Cover: Paperback
Edition Number: 1
Release Year: 2025

TOM CHIVERS is a science writer and author. He was awarded the Royal Statistical Society ‘statistical excellence in journalism’ award in 2018, and was highly commended for the same prize in 2017; he has also been shortlisted for the Association of British Science Writers award and a British Journalism Award in science writing, and won the American Psychological Society media award, all in 2017. His first book, THE RATIONALIST’S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY, was declared one of The Times’ science books of 2019.

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