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If Russia Wins: A Scenario

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**THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER**

‘Amazing’ Alastair Campbell, The Rest Is Politics

‘Chilling’ Financial Times
‘Excellent’ Lewis Goodall, LBC
A cracking book … Reads like a thriller’ Matt Frei, LBC

March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin’s long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. Europe’s slow rearmament and its compromised military and intelligence capabilities is now clear for its enemies to exploit. Does Article 5 of NATO apply? What will the alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war?

In If Russia Wins, military expert and Professor of International Relations at the University of Munich, Carlo Masala explores these questions and underlines what is at stake in Ukraine in the starkest possible terms.

For those of us who have only ever known peace, we are accustomed to everything turning out well in the end. But what if it doesn’t?

Translated from the German by Olena Ebel and Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp.

Author: Masala Carlo
Publisher: ATLANTIC BOOKS
Pages: 128
ISBN: 9781805465744
Cover: Paperback
Edition Number: 1
Release Year: 2025

Carlo Masala is Professor for International Politics at the Bundeswehr University Munich. He previously worked as Deputy Director in the research department at the NATO Defence College in Rome. Since January 2024, Masala has been Director of the Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies at the University of the Federal Armed Forces in Munich. He received the Lichtenberg Medal in Gold from the Lower Saxony Academy of Sciences in Göttingen in 2023 for his academic work and science communication. If Russia Wins was an immediate #1 bestseller upon publication in Germany, and has since become a bestseller in the Netherlands.

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