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Raising Keynes: A Twenty-First-Century General Theory

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Back to the future: a heterodox economist rewrites Keynes’s General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money to serve as the basis for a macroeconomics for the twenty-first century.

John Maynard Keynes’s General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money was the most influential economic idea of the twentieth century. But, argues Stephen Marglin, its radical implications were obscured by Keynes’s lack of the mathematical tools necessary to argue convincingly that the problem was the market itself, as distinct from myriad sources of friction around its margins.

Marglin fills in the theoretical gaps, revealing the deeper meaning of the General Theory. Drawing on eight decades of discussion and debate since the General Theory was published, as well as on his own research, Marglin substantiates Keynes’s intuition that there is no mechanism within a capitalist economy that ensures full employment. Even if deregulating the economy could make it more like the textbook ideal of perfect competition, this would not address the problem that Keynes identified: the potential inadequacy of aggregate demand.

Ordinary citizens have paid a steep price for the distortion of Keynes’s message. Fiscal policy has been relegated to emergencies like the Great Recession. Monetary policy has focused unduly on inflation. In both cases the underlying rationale is the false premise that in the long run at least the economy is self-regulating so that fiscal policy is unnecessary and inflation beyond a modest two percent serves no useful purpose.

Fleshing out Keynes’s intuition that the problem is not the warts on the body of capitalism but capitalism itself, Raising Keynes provides the foundation for a twenty-first-century macroeconomics that can both respond to crises and guide long-run policy.

Συγγραφέας: Marglin Stephen
Εκδότης: HARVARD UNIVERSITY PRESS
Σελίδες: 928
ISBN: 9780674971028
Εξώφυλλο: Σκληρό Εξώφυλλο
Αριθμός Έκδοσης: 1
Έτος έκδοσης: 2021
  • Notation
  • Prologue: What Is This Book About?
  • I. Background: The Rise and Fall
    • 1. Introduction: Is This Resurrection Necessary?
    • 2. What Were They Thinking? Economics before The General Theory
  • II. Keynes Defeated: Static Models and the Critics
    • 3. The Determination of Output and Employment: First and Second Passes at Equilibrium
      • Appendix 1: Keynes’s Definition(s) of Unemployment
      • Appendix 2: Do Interest Rates Adjust Saving and Investment?
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 4. Equilibrium with a Given Money Supply: Critical Perspectives on the Second-Pass Model
      • Mathematical Appendix
  • III. Keynes Vindicated: A Theory of Real-Time Changes
    • 5. The Price Mechanism: Gospels According to Marshall and Walras
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 6. The General Theory without Rigid Prices and Wages
      • Appendix: A Brief History of Stationary Real-Price Equilibria
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 7. Dynamics vs. Statics: Can the Economy Get from the Here of Unemployment to the There of Full Employment?
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 8. A Dose of Reality: The Evidence of the Great Depression
      • Appendix: Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz on What Made the Depression Great
      • Mathematical Appendix
  • IV. Building Blocks
    • 9. Consumption and Saving
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 10. Investment
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 11. The Theory of Interest, I: Liquidity Preference in a World of Money and Bonds
      • Appendix: Bond Coupons as Insurance against Price Declines
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 12. The Theory of Interest, II: Liquidity Preference as a Theory of Spreads
      • Mathematical Appendix
      • Empirical Appendix: What Do the Data Say?
    • 13. Taking Money Seriously
      • Mathematical Appendix
  • V. Fiscal Policy in Theory and Practice
    • 14. Functional Finance and the Stabilization of Aggregate Demand
    • 15. Did the Obama Stimulus Work?
      • Empirical Appendix: Regressions and Their Discontents
    • 16. Functional Finance and the Composition of Aggregate Demand
      • Appendix 1: Sound Finance as Starving the Beast
      • Appendix 2: The Empirics of Debt Sustainability
      • Appendix 3: Are Government Bonds Private Wealth? And What Difference Does It Make for the Sustainability of the Debt?
      • Mathematical Appendix
  • VI. Keynes in the Long Run
    • 17. First Steps into the Long Run: Harrod, Domar, Solow, and Robinson
      • Appendix: Inventory Accumulation as a Brake on Output
    • 18. Keynes in the Long Run: A Theory of Wages, Prices, and Employment
      • Mathematical Appendix
    • 19. Inflation and Employment Empirics in the Keynesian Long Run
  • Epilogue: Attack Them in Their Citadel
  • Notes
  • References
  • Acknowledgments
  • Index

Stephen A. Marglin is the Walter Barker Professor of Economics at Harvard University. His books include The Dismal Science: How Thinking Like an Economist Undermines Community and Growth, Distribution, and Prices. He is a past Guggenheim Fellow and member of the Harvard Society of Fellows.

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