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Militant Competition: How Terrorists and Insurgents Advertise with Violence and How They Can Be Stopped

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Militant groups often use violence, perversely, to gain attention and resources. In this book, the authors analyze how terrorist and rebel organizations compete with one another to secure funding and supporters. The authors develop a strategic model of competitive violence among militant groups and test the model's implications with statistical analysis and case studies. A series of model extensions allow the authors to incorporate the full range of strategic actors, focusing in particular on government efforts to counter and deter violence. The results indicate that the direct effects of competition are not as clear as they may seem, and interventions to alter competitive incentives may backfire if states are not careful. This is a timely contribution to a growing body of political economy research on militant group fragmentation, rivalry, fratricide and demonstrative violence.

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  • Introduces formal model of political violence and walks reader through in an accessible, step-by-step manner
  • Provides real world evidence and case studies to demonstrate support for the theoretical expectations developed in the book
  • Leaves reader with a nuanced understanding of how counterterrorism policies are likely to influence terrorist and rebel violence
Authors: Conrad Justin, Spaniel William
Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
Pages: 262
ISBN: 9781108994538
Cover: Paperback
Edition Number: 1
Release Year: 2021

1. Introduction
2. A formal model of outbidding
3. The evidence
4. Outbidding, capacity, and government enforcement
5. Outbidding as deterrence: endogenous demands in the shadow of group competition
6. Cornering the market: counterterrorism in the shadow of group formation
Conclusion.

Justin Conrad is Associate Professor of International Affairs at the University of Georgia and Director of the Center for International Trade and Security.

William Spaniel is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Pittsburgh.

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