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Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

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How do we know what's true? The bestselling author of The Rules of Contagion mines two millennia of knowledge to find out

FINANCIAL TIMES BEST SUMMER BOOK OF 2025

'Brilliant' ALEX BELLOS

'Illuminating' DAILY MAIL

'The case for better evidence in post-evidence times' FINANCIAL TIMES

'Excellent' NEW SCIENTIST

'Profound and utterly absorbing' CHRIS VAN TULLEKEN

How far would you go in your search for certainty? And once you get there, how do you convince others?

From the medieval Islamic world to the recent pandemic, scientific progress has relied on different methods of establishing fact from fiction. Today, in the face of ever-increasing disinformation, how we prove things - to ourselves and others - has never felt more urgent.

But there is far more to proof than axioms, theories and scientific laws: when demonstrating that an experimental medical treatment works, persuading a jury of someone's guilt, or deciding whether to trust a new type of financial transaction, weighing up evidence is rarely simple.

Bestselling author, statistician and epidemiologist Adam Kucharski ranges across science, politics, philosophy and economics to explore how truth emerges - and why it falters.

Author: Kucharski Adam
Publisher: PROFILE BOOKS
Pages: 368
ISBN: 9781788169080
Cover: Hardback
Edition Number: 1
Release Year: 2025

Adam Kucharski is an associate professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, working on global outbreaks such as the Ebola epidemic and the Zika virus. He is a TED fellow and winner of the 2016 Rosalind Franklin Award Lecture and the 2012 Wellcome Trust Science Writing Prize. He has written for the Observer, Financial Times, Scientific American, and New Statesman. He is the author of The Perfect Bet: How Science and Maths Are Taking the Luck Out of Gambling.

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