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The Long Game: China's Grand Strategy to Displace American Order

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For more than a century, no US adversary or coalition of adversaries - not Nazi Germany, Imperial Japan, or the Soviet Union - has ever reached sixty percent of US GDP. China is the sole exception, and it is fast emerging into a global superpower that could rival, if not eclipse, the United States. What does China want, does it have a grand strategy to achieve it, and what should the United States do about it?

In The Long Game, Rush Doshi draws from a rich base of Chinese primary sources, including decades worth of party documents, leaked materials, memoirs by party leaders, and a careful analysis of China's conduct to provide a history of China's grand strategy since the end of the Cold War. Taking readers behind the Party's closed doors, he uncovers Beijing's long, methodical game to displace America from its hegemonic position in both the East Asia regional and global orders through three sequential "strategies of displacement." Beginning in the 1980s, China focused for two decades on "hiding capabilities and biding time." After the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, it became more assertive regionally, following a policy of "actively accomplishing something." Finally, in the aftermath populist elections of 2016, China shifted to an even more aggressive strategy for undermining US hegemony, adopting the phrase "great changes unseen in century." After charting how China's long game has evolved, Doshi offers a comprehensive yet asymmetric plan for an effective US response. Ironically, his proposed approach takes a page from Beijing's own strategic playbook to undermine China's ambitions and strengthen American order without competing dollar-for-dollar, ship-for-ship, or loan-for-loan.

Author: Doshi Rush
Publisher: OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS
Pages: 432
ISBN: 9780197645482
Cover: Paperback
Edition Number: 1
Release Year: 2023

Chapter 1 - "A Coherent Body of Thought and Action": Defining Grand Strategy
Chapter 2 - "The Party Leads Everything": Grand Strategy and the Communist Party
Chapter 3 - "New Cold Wars Have Begun": The Traumatic Trifecta and the US Threat
Chapter 4 - "Hiding Capabilities and Biding Time": Blunting as China's First Displacement Strategy
Chapter 5 - "A Change in the Balance of Power": The Financial Crisis and US Decline
Chapter 6 - "Actively Accomplish Something": Building as China's Second Strategy of Displacement
Chapter 7 - "A Suit that No Longer Fits": The Global Order and China's Ambitions
Chapter 8 - "Towards the World's Center Stage": Global Expansion as China's Third Displacement Strategy
Chapter 9 - "An Asymmetric Response": Dealing with Chinese Strategies of Displacement

Rush Doshi is Director of the Brookings China Strategy Initiative and a Fellow in Brookings Foreign Policy. He is also a Fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Special Advisor to the CEO of the Asia Group, an Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, and an intelligence officer in the US Navy Reserve. Dr. Doshi was a member of the Asia Policy Working Group for Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign, an analyst at the Long Term Strategy Group and Rock Creek Global Advisors, an Arthur Liman Fellow at the Department of State, and a Fulbright Fellow in China. His research has appeared in the Wall Street JournalForeign Affairs, the Washington PostInternational Organization, and the Washington Quarterly, among other publications, and he has testified before the US Congress.

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